Na lihlahisoa tsa tšepe tsa China li ka lula li le holimo ka Hlakubele?

Lintlha tsa morao-rao tse tsoang ho General Administration of Customs li bontšitse hore ka January-February 2024, Chaena e ile ea romela lithane tse limilione tse 15.912 tsa tšepe, ho fihlela 32,6% selemo le selemo;e rekisitse lithane tse limilione tse 1.131 tsa tšepe, tse theohileng ka 8.1% selemo le selemo.Thekiso ea tšepe e tsoang kantle ho naha e ntse e bontša kholo e matla ea selemo le selemo.

Molemong oa theko ea thepa ea kantle ho naha le litaelo tse batlang li lekana tsa pele tse tsamaisoang ke likhoeli tse 2 tsa pele tsa selemo sena, thepa ea kantle ea tšepe ea China e ile ea phahama haholo selemo le selemo, ha thepa e tsoang kantle ho naha e ntse e tsoela pele ho theoha.Likhoeling tse 2 tsa pele tsa selemo sena, China e rometsoe kantle ho naha ea tšepe ea lithane tse limilione tse 14.781, keketseho ea 34,9% selemo le selemo, sekhahla sa kholo ea ho theoha ha selemo se fetileng sa lintlha tse 10,7 lekholong.

Ka nako e ts'oanang, li-export tsa China tsa tšepe, le thepa e tsoang kantle ho naha ea likarolo tse 'maloa tse tšoanelang ho ela hloko.

Taba ea pele, lekala la lefats'e la tlhahiso le ntse le ntlafala butle-butle, ha tlhoko ea rona ea kantle ho naha e ntse e le tlas'a khatello.

Hajoale, Global Production PMI (Purchasing Manager's Index) e ntlafetse, e betere hanyane ho feta Q4 2023, e bonts'ang hore moruo oa lefats'e o tsitsitse.Lintlha tsa China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing li bonts'a hore ka Pherekhong 2024, PMI ea tlhahiso ea lefats'e e ne e le 49.1%, e theohile ka liperesente tse 0.2 ho tloha khoeling e fetileng, khoeli ea bobeli e latellanang ka holimo ho 49.0%, e phahame ho feta tekanyo ea 47.9% kotareng ea bone. ea 2023, e bontšang ho hlaphoheloa ho tsitsitseng ha lekala la lefats'e la tlhahiso.

tšepe e kolobisitsoeng ka tšepe e chesang

Ka lapeng, ka Hlakola, lethathamo la lihlahisoa tse ncha tsa tlhahiso ea thepa ea kantle ho naha ea China e ne e le liperesente tse 46.3, e theohile ka liperesente tse 0.9 ho tloha selemong se fetileng, e bonts'a khatello e itseng tlhokehong ea rona ea kantle.

Tšepe e Kgethehileng e Chesang ka Likhoele

Taba ea bobeli, phepelo ea limmaraka tsa tšepe mose ho maoatle e ile ea tsoela pele ho eketseha.

Ka Pherekhong 2024, tlhahiso ea litšepe tse tala lefatšeng ka bophara e bonts'itse ho theoha ha selemo le selemo.Lintlha tsa Mokhatlo oa Lefatše oa Litšepe li bontša hore ka Pherekhong, tlhahiso ea tšepe e tala lefatšeng ka bophara ea linaha tse 71 le libaka tse kenyellelitsoeng lipalo-palo e bile lithane tse limilione tse 148.1, e leng phokotseho ea selemo le selemo ea 1.6%.Ka nako e ts'oanang, tlhahiso ea tšepe ea mose ho maoatle e bonts'itse ho khutla ha selemo le selemo.

Ka Pherekhong 2024, tlhahiso ea tšepe linaheng le libakeng ho potoloha lefatše ntle le China e ne e le lithane tse limilione tse 70.9, ho nyoloha ka lithane tse limilione tse 2.6 ho tloha selemong se fetileng, le ho nyoloha ka 7.8% selemo le selemo, ha sekhahla sa kholo se fokotseha ka liperesente tse 1.0 ka hore ka December selemong se fetileng, ya data bontša.

Ea boraro, molemo oa China oa theko ea thepa ea kantle ea tšepe o ntse o le teng.

Hajoale, molemo oa China oa theko ea kantle ea tšepe o ntse o le teng.Lintlha tsa tlhahlobo ea Lange Steel Research Center li bonts'a hore ho tloha ka la 6 Hlakubele, India, Turkey, linaha tsa CIS,tšepe e koetsoeng e chesangli-coil export quotes (FOB) e ne e le 615 US dollars/tonne, 670 US dollars/tonne, 595 US dollars/tonne, ha China ea China e theohile ka 545 US dollars/tonne, ka ho latellana, ha e bapisoa le qotsulo ea kantle ho naha ea India e tlase ho feta. Lidolara tsa 70 tsa US / tonne, tse ka tlaase ho lidolara tsa 125 tsa US / tonne tsa Turkey, tse tlase ho feta linaha tsa CIS li ka tlaase ho 50 USD / tonne.

Tšepe e Kgethehileng e Chesang ka Likhoele
Tšepe e Kgethehileng e Chesang ka Likhoele

Ntlha ea bone, lethathamo la lihlahisoa tsa tšepe tsa China le ile la oela hape sebakeng sa konteraka.

Ho tsoa ho data ea litaelo tsa kantle ho indasteri ea tšepe, ka lebaka la ho hlaphoheloa ha phepelo ea mose ho maoatle, index ea litaelo tsa kantle ho naha ea China e tlas'a khatello, ka Pherekhong, index e ncha ea litaelo tsa kantle ho naha ea likhoebo tsa tšepe e ne e le liperesente tse 47.0, e theohile ka liperesente tse 4.0, e boetse e oele. ho khutlela sebakeng sa konteraka, e tla ba mohato oa morao oa ho romelloa ka ntle ho tšepe China ho theha tšitiso.

Ea bohlano, ka nako e khuts'oane, li-export tsa tšepe li tla bonts'a selemo le selemo, likarohano tsa ketane li ntse li fetoha hanyane.

Ha ho nahanoa ka likhoeli tse 2 tsa pele tsa selemo sena, karolelano ea khoeli le khoeli ea China e romelloang kantle ho lithane tse limilione tse 7.956, e bonts'ang boemo bo holimo ba ho romelloa kantle ho naha, hammoho le thomello ea kantle ea tšepe ea Hlakubele 2023 ea lithane tse limilione tse 7.89, e lebelletsoe ho 2024 Hlakubele selemo sa China sa kantle ho naha. -on-year, karo-karolelano ea ketane e tla bontša liphetoho tse nyenyane tsa mokhoa.

Ho tsoa kantle ho naha, matla a hona joale a tlhahiso ea lehae a ntse a sebetsa sebakeng sa konteraka, 'me ho hula ha tlhokahalo ea tšepe ho fokotsehile, ha matla a phahameng a ho kenya tšepe a China a eketsehile haholo, theko ea tšepe ea Chaena e lebelletsoe ho boloka boemo bo tlase hamorao.


Nako ea poso: Mar-13-2024